Short-term Forecasts for the Vehicle Fleet 2025–2028
This year’s projections reflect a modest recovery from the ongoing economic downturn. As a result, the number of new vehicle registrations is expected to increase slightly in the coming years.
- Korttidsprognoser för vägfordonsflottan 2025-2028
- Korttidsprognoser för den svenska vägfordonsflottan - metoder och antaganden
- Short-term Forecasts for the Vehicle Fleet 2025–2028
- Underlagsrapport: Kunskapsunderlag om lätta lastbilar, kvalitativ analys avseende utvecklingen av teknik och drivlina för lätta lastbilar fram till 2035
Despite some signs of recovery in the private leasing segment, household purchasing power remains weak.
The number of newly registered passenger cars is expected to remain relatively low in 2025, followed by a slight increase thereafter.
The export of used passenger cars is projected to decrease somewhat in the coming years, due to a stronger Swedish krona and a reduced supply of used petrol and diesel cars.
New registrations of light and heavy goods vehicles are expected to increase slightly over the forecast period.
This year’s forecast indicates an increase in the number of newly registered electric vehicles across all vehicle categories, as well as a modest increase in hybrid-powered light goods vehicles.
In contrast, the number of newly registered light vehicles powered by gas or E85 is expected to decline sharply and virtually cease in the years ahead.
- Korttidsprognoser för vägfordonsflottan 2025-2028
- Korttidsprognoser för den svenska vägfordonsflottan - metoder och antaganden
- Short-term Forecasts for the Vehicle Fleet 2025–2028
- Underlagsrapport: Kunskapsunderlag om lätta lastbilar, kvalitativ analys avseende utvecklingen av teknik och drivlina för lätta lastbilar fram till 2035
